AVIATION INDUSTRY

Alaska Airlines Optimistic Despite January and February Stumbles

Alaska Airlines, headquartered in Seattle, again exposed its first quarter difficulties. The carrier, which produced outstanding summertime profits last year, followed by modest profits in the fourth quarter, dipped into the red between January and March this year. Alaska reported a $79 million Q1 net loss excluding special items, along with a negative 5 percent operating margin. First quarters have indeed been difficult for the carrier historically. Its Q1 margin in 2019, however, was positive 3 percent.

All will be forgiven if Alaska proceeds to run up its profits this spring and summer, when Seattle’s highly seasonal tourism sector is in full bloom. Yet the company faces many new post-pandemic challenges, including a big increase in labor costs. Another concern is the recession currently afflicting the West Coast tech sector, resulting in mass layoffs at some of Alaska’s largest corporate customers like Amazon and Microsoft (both Seattle-based companies). Also last quarter, weather disruptions led to an unusually large number of cancellations.

Management says it will work to reduce the impact of its seasonal Q1 weakness, which is specifically concentrated in January and February—March by contrast was “was very profitable,” said CEO Ben Minicucci. “We almost hit a double-digit pretax margin.” Chief Revenue Officer Andrew Harrison underscored the point, noting that “Throughout my tenure at Air Group, this airline has been solidly profitable 10 months of the year, with January and February always being the most difficult due to our network configuration and predominantly leisure consumer base.” United too made similar comments about business traffic coming in weaker than usual during January and February…

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