IATA AGM 2017: Strong profits forecast for aviation industry

The International Air Transport Association has revised its 2017 industry profitability outlook upwards.

Airlines are expected to report a $31.4 billion profit (up from the previously forecast $29.8 billion) on revenues of $743 billion (up from the previously forecast $736 billion).

"This will be another solid year of performance for the airline industry.

"Demand for both the cargo and passenger business is stronger than expected.

"While revenues are increasing, earnings are being squeezed by rising fuel, labour and maintenance expenses.

"Airlines are still well in the black and delivering earnings above their cost of capital. But, compared to last year, there is a dip in profitability," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA director general.

In 2017 airlines are expected to retain a net profit of $7.69 per passenger.

That is down from $9.13 in 2016 and $10.08 in 2015.

The average net profit margin stands at 4.2 per cent (down from 4.9 per cent in 2016).

"Airlines are defining a new epoch in industry profitability.

"For a third year in a row we expect returns that are above the cost of capital.

"But, with earnings of $7.69 per passenger, there is not much buffer.

"That"™s why airlines must remain vigilant against any cost increases, including from taxes, labour and infrastructure," said de Juniac.

While overall industry performance is strong, major regional variations remain.

About half the industry profits are being generated in North America ($15.4 billion)…

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